Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001756 0.001832 0.001911 0.001999 0.002095 0.002197 0.002314
2025-06-08 0.001653 0.001764 0.001884 0.002025 0.002188 0.002371 0.002596
2025-06-15 0.001571 0.001705 0.001855 0.002038 0.002259 0.002521 0.002864
2025-06-22 0.001489 0.001636 0.001805 0.002017 0.002282 0.002611 0.003065
2025-06-29 0.001418 0.001572 0.001753 0.001986 0.002286 0.002672 0.003232
2025-07-06 0.001365 0.001526 0.001719 0.001972 0.002307 0.002752 0.003432
2025-07-13 0.001292 0.001452 0.001644 0.001900 0.002244 0.002713 0.003448
2025-07-20 0.001257 0.001421 0.001621 0.001893 0.002266 0.002789 0.003648
2025-07-27 0.001234 0.001404 0.001615 0.001906 0.002315 0.002909 0.003935
2025-08-03 0.001202 0.001374 0.001590 0.001891 0.002323 0.002967 0.004127
2025-08-10 0.001185 0.001363 0.001589 0.001908 0.002377 0.003099 0.004475
2025-08-17 0.001160 0.001340 0.001570 0.001900 0.002392 0.003170 0.004720
2025-08-24 0.001129 0.001309 0.001541 0.001876 0.002385 0.003207 0.004914
2025-08-31 0.001120 0.001306 0.001548 0.001905 0.002460 0.003393 0.005481
2025-09-07 0.001106 0.001295 0.001545 0.001919 0.002513 0.003547 0.006032
2025-09-14 0.001081 0.001271 0.001522 0.001901 0.002512 0.003600 0.006346
2025-09-21 0.001056 0.001243 0.001493 0.001874 0.002494 0.003618 0.006572
2025-09-28 0.001036 0.001224 0.001475 0.001861 0.002498 0.003682 0.006959
2025-10-05 0.001001 0.001182 0.001425 0.001797 0.002411 0.003551 0.006698
2025-10-12 0.000986 0.001167 0.001412 0.001790 0.002423 0.003624 0.007131
2025-10-19 0.000977 0.001161 0.001411 0.001802 0.002468 0.003773 0.007903
2025-10-26 0.000961 0.001145 0.001395 0.001789 0.002468 0.003824 0.008349
2025-11-02 0.000954 0.001141 0.001396 0.001804 0.002519 0.003998 0.009437